
BFBM Under 2.5 Goals Strategy: Time-Decay Trading
Under 2.5 Goals: Trading Time Instead of Outcomes The Under 2.5 Goals strategy is the mechanical inverse of Lay the Draw. Instead of profiting when a goal is scored, you profit when time passes without one. The edge comes from time decay — the predictable shortening of odds as a goalless match progresses and the mathematical probability of a third goal diminishes. What makes this ideal for automation is the exit condition. Unlike Lay the Draw, where you need to react to an unpredictable goal event, Under 2.5 Goals allows you to set a price target — and let BF Bot Manager execute the green-up automatically when the market reaches it. ...






